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Pertemps Final Betting Tips

Key Trends:

  • Aged between six and nine - 10 winners in the last 10 runnings (won all but one renewal since 1981)
  • Carried 11st 7lb or less - 10/10
  • In the handicap proper - 10/10
  • Had achieved their best pre-race RPR (Racing Post Rating) in one of their last three runs - 10/10

Clearly, we’re looking for a progressive in-form horse with less than 11st 7lb to carry but in the handicap proper. And even better if it’s trained by Jonjo O’Neil and owned by JP McManus!

O’Neil has trained three Pertemps Final winners, including two of the past six, while McManus won this in 1991 with Danny Connors, in 2004 with Creon (both trained by O’Neil) and in 2006 with Kaldoun. This year, the deadly duo are responsible for two - ex-chaser Don’t Push it (7/1 Paddy Power), and SYNCHRONISED (12/1 Victor Chandler).

Don’t Push It is the mount of Tony McCoy and has looked revived for a spell of hurdling this season, but he has never looked that resolute in a finish and his trainer has expressed slight concerns about his stamina for this 3m trip (was being considered for the Coral Cup over 2m5f), so my money’s going on his stablemate Synchronised, who has the strongest form anyhow.

Last time out, he posted his best rating so far when winning a qualifier for this race at Haydock (the same one won by last year’s Pertemps winner Ballyfitz) in a time that was much faster than that clocked earlier in the afternoon by Kasbah Bliss and, as that was only his fifth career start (and his first over 3m), there should be more improvement to come. The booking of talented claimer, R P McLernon, is the icing on the cake for his backers, who should help themselves to the 12/1 available.

Of the rest, Pennek (12/1 Boylesports) was third in that Haydock race and is entitled to finish closer on revised terms, but he lacks a turn of foot at the business end and looks booked for a place at best. P'Tit Fute (10/1 Stan James) won the Leopardstown qualifier for this race in impressive fashion but, as a result, carries top weight of 11st 12lb here, while David Pipe's Buena Vista (10/1 Victor Chandler) should run well now that the handicapper has given him a chance by dropping him to 133. Ballydub (10/1 Sportingbet) is interesting as he’s still fairly unexposed over this trip but he has had jumping problems in his last two starts.

Tony Martin is always a trainer to be feared in these big handicaps and his Green Mile (10/1 Blue Square) has come in for plenty of support in recent days. His recent form hasn't been that convincing, although to be fair his latest run was over 2m, a trip well short of his best and, if the ground were to dry out significantly, he'd be a danger to all.

Recommended Bet:

Synchronised 1pt each way @ 12/1 Victor Chandler NRNB

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